OpenAI

Quantitative Threat Forecasting Analyst

San Francisco, California, United States

$320,000 – $425,000Compensation
Expert & Leadership (9+ years)Experience Level
Full TimeJob Type
UnknownVisa
Artificial Intelligence, Biotechnology, CybersecurityIndustries

Requirements

Candidates should possess 5+ years of experience in quantitative research, forecasting, or risk modeling roles within fields such as finance, technology, safety, security, or public policy. Deep fluency in statistical inference, forecasting, uncertainty quantification, and decision modeling, particularly under sparse or adversarial data conditions, is required. Expertise with modern toolchains including NumPyro, TensorFlow Probability, PyMC, Darts, GluonTS/Chronos, sktime, PyOD 2.0, River, and scikit-survival is essential, along with strong coding skills in Python/JAX/PyTorch or R and data-engineering fundamentals like SQL and Spark.

Responsibilities

As a Quantitative Threat Forecasting Analyst, you will design and deploy probabilistic and Bayesian models to forecast threat emergence, detect anomalies, and quantify risk, often when signal is weak and timelines are short. You will build classical and deep-learning forecasts, develop real-time anomaly-detection pipelines, apply survival analysis and rare-event methods, and run stress tests and Monte Carlo simulations to evaluate threat likelihood and impact. Furthermore, you will collaborate across disciplines—investigations, engineering, policy—to embed statistical rigor into threat prioritization, guardrails, and product decisions, communicating insights through briefs, dashboards, and visualizations to drive executive action, and own production pipelines to support these efforts.

Skills

Quantitative analysis
Statistical modeling
Probabilistic modeling
Bayesian modeling
PyMC
NumPyro
JAX
TensorFlow Probability
Deep learning
Time-series forecasting
Anomaly detection
Risk analytics
Python
PyOD
River
Darts
GluonTS
Chronos
sktime
MLForecast

OpenAI

Develops safe and beneficial AI technologies

About OpenAI

OpenAI develops and deploys artificial intelligence technologies aimed at benefiting humanity. The company creates advanced AI models capable of performing various tasks, such as automating processes and enhancing creativity. OpenAI's products, like Sora, allow users to generate videos from text descriptions, showcasing the versatility of its AI applications. Unlike many competitors, OpenAI operates under a capped profit model, which limits the profits it can make and ensures that excess earnings are redistributed to maximize the social benefits of AI. This commitment to safety and ethical considerations is central to its mission of ensuring that artificial general intelligence (AGI) serves all of humanity.

San Francisco, CaliforniaHeadquarters
2015Year Founded
$18,433.2MTotal Funding
LATE_VCCompany Stage
AI & Machine LearningIndustries
1,001-5,000Employees

Benefits

Health insurance
Dental and vision insurance
Flexible spending account for healthcare and dependent care
Mental healthcare service
Fertility treatment coverage
401(k) with generous matching
20-week paid parental leave
Life insurance (complimentary)
AD&D insurance (complimentary)
Short-term/long-term disability insurance (complimentary)
Optional buy-up life insurance
Flexible work hours and unlimited paid time off (we encourage 4+ weeks per year)
Annual learning & development stipend
Regular team happy hours and outings
Daily catered lunch and dinner
Travel to domestic conferences

Risks

Elon Musk's legal battle may pose financial and reputational challenges for OpenAI.
Customizable ChatGPT personas could lead to privacy and ethical concerns.
Competitors like Anthropic raising capital may intensify market competition.

Differentiation

OpenAI's capped profit model prioritizes ethical AI development over unlimited profit.
OpenAI's AI models, like Sora, offer unique video creation from text descriptions.
OpenAI's focus on AGI aims to create AI systems smarter than humans.

Upsides

OpenAI's $6.6 billion funding boosts its AI research and computational capacity.
Customizable ChatGPT personas enhance user engagement and satisfaction.
OpenAI's 'Operator' AI agent could revolutionize workforce automation by 2025.

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